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New Mexico Telegram » Featured, Polling, Presidential » Poll: Obama still up big against Romney in NM

Poll: Obama still up big against Romney in NM

A poll by Rasmussen Reports shows that President Barack Obama is up by double digits against former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney in New Mexico.

The poll shows that Obama leads 52 percent to 38 percent over Romney.

Most analysts consider New Mexico a lean Democratic or safe Democratic state on the presidential level, and this poll will do nothing to change those views.

Nine percent support “some other candidate,” the bulk of which would likely be former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson. Rasmussen has refused to include Johnson in their presidential polls.

New Mexico was a swing election in 2000 and 2004, when it was among the closest states in the nation — but in 2008, Obama won by 15 percent over Sen. John McCain and since then, the state has been seen as trending Democratic.

A victory by Republican Gov. Susana Martinez gave Republicans hope that New Mexico would be more “purple” on the presidential level. So far, this hasn’t appeared to be the case.

The poll may show that the Public Policy Polling poll from last month is a bit of an outlier. That is the only poll since a June 23 Public Policy Polling poll that shows the race within single digits.

Rasmussen is generally a more conservative-leaning firm. It has shown a closer race nationally than other pollsters.

The poll of 500 likely New Mexico voters was conducted on August 21 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent.

Written by

Matthew Reichbach has blogged about New Mexico politics since 2006. Matthew was a co-founder of New Mexico FBIHOP with his brother and part of the original hirings at the groundbreaking website the New Mexico Independent. Matthew has covered events such as the Democratic National Convention and Netroots Nation. In addition to politics, Matthew is an avid sports fan, especially of the Los Angeles Dodgers, and TV fan.

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5 Responses to "Poll: Obama still up big against Romney in NM"

  1. Suzi S says:

    Rasmussen can suck lemons! With the total disgust in this country for both major parties, I am shocked and surprised that voters are not considering placing their vote for Gary Johnson, the only person in the room who seems to know how to behave! Want a transparent, no-hidden-agenda POTUS? Then vote for Gary Johnson. Don’t let big money and scare-mongering force you into a vote that will be bad for the country, whether you lean to the left or the right. Jump on board a REAL candidate’s band wagon. Heck with Rasmussen. We don’t need them to tell us who we’re voting for!

    1. CMCD says:

      Agreed, Gary Johnson is the only candidate who is saying what he will do if elected – cut govt by 43% to save the country from bankruptcy, and leaving everyone alone after that – just like he did as Governor of New Mexico.

      The two parties got us into this mess, Gov. Johnson has the experience (more than Obama or Romney) to begin getting us out. He may not win this time, but watch out in 2016, after O’Romney makes things worse for 4 more years.

  2. No, CMCD. Both parties did NOT get us into this mess. It was the Republicans! The obvious way to “save the country from bankruptcy” is to raise taxes on the rich, which is what Obama wants to do.

  3. karl says:

    Like most things in politics. Money probably has influenced Johnson’s exclusion.

  4. Amanda Fisher says:

    Makes me proud to be a New Mexican. Go Obama!