A poll by Rasmussen Reports shows that President Barack Obama is up by double digits against former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney in New Mexico.
The poll shows that Obama leads 52 percent to 38 percent over Romney.
Most analysts consider New Mexico a lean Democratic or safe Democratic state on the presidential level, and this poll will do nothing to change those views.
Nine percent support “some other candidate,” the bulk of which would likely be former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson. Rasmussen has refused to include Johnson in their presidential polls.
New Mexico was a swing election in 2000 and 2004, when it was among the closest states in the nation — but in 2008, Obama won by 15 percent over Sen. John McCain and since then, the state has been seen as trending Democratic.
A victory by Republican Gov. Susana Martinez gave Republicans hope that New Mexico would be more “purple” on the presidential level. So far, this hasn’t appeared to be the case.
The poll may show that the Public Policy Polling poll from last month is a bit of an outlier. That is the only poll since a June 23 Public Policy Polling poll that shows the race within single digits.
Rasmussen is generally a more conservative-leaning firm. It has shown a closer race nationally than other pollsters.
The poll of 500 likely New Mexico voters was conducted on August 21 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent.