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New Mexico Telegram » Featured, Polling, Presidential » Polls show Obama with double-digit lead in NM

Polls show Obama with double-digit lead in NM

Just like Martin Heinrich, President Barack Obama appears to be in good shape in New Mexico, at least if two recent polls have anything to say about it.

The polls echo what every other poll in the race has shown so far — an Obama lead. The only question in months of polling is has been how much of a lead Obama has in the state.

A Rasmussen Reports poll shows Obama ahead by 11 percent over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. A We Ask America poll has Obama’s lead at 10.3 percent.

The Rasmussen poll does not include Libertarian Party candidate, and former New Mexico governor, Gary Johnson. Instead, it asks for “another candidate.” The “another candidate” received 6 percent in the poll. The We Ask America poll included Johnson and the pollster wrote, “The only real surprise to us was that former NM Governor Gary Johnson isn’t doing better here.”

We Ask America writes:

While New Mexico has been leaning left, Johnson was pulling down double digits early in the summer but has clearly faded since. His presence on the ticket was once believed to be a problem for Mitt Romney. Now, his meager draw isn’t taking enough chunks to matter, and Barack Obama is cruising toward the finish line.

Obama’s lead in New Mexico has been between five percent and 11 percent all summer in polls conducted in the state.

There has been less public polling in the state this summer because New Mexico is not considered a swing state and Obama is heavily favored to win.

Rasmussen Reports has been considered to have a conservative tilt (its tracking poll currently shows Obama leading Romney by one percent, even as other polls find Obama with a lead of between three percent and five percent)

The Rasmussen Reports poll of 500 likely voters was taken on September 27 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent.

The We Ask America poll was 1,258 likely voters was taken from September 25-27 and has a margin of error of +.- 2.85 percent.

Written by

Matthew Reichbach has blogged about New Mexico politics since 2006. Matthew was a co-founder of New Mexico FBIHOP with his brother and part of the original hirings at the groundbreaking website the New Mexico Independent. Matthew has covered events such as the Democratic National Convention and Netroots Nation. In addition to politics, Matthew is an avid sports fan, especially of the Los Angeles Dodgers, and TV fan.

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3 Responses to "Polls show Obama with double-digit lead in NM"

  1. If Republican polls (We Ask America, the polling arm of the conservative American Manufacturers Association, should be considered a republican poll) have Obama up +10 or +11, then the reality is likely to be an even bigger margin.

    Game over on the national level in NM. Game on in the NM House and Senate races.

  2. […] show Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by double-digits in New Mexico. Considering the entirety of campaigning in New Mexico consisted of Romney holding a rally in […]

  3. […] eleven point margin is identical to a September 28 poll by Rasmussen Reports. However, this polls hows Obama going further above the 50 percent mark in the […]