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New Mexico Telegram » Featured, Polling, Senate » Rasmussen: Heinrich 52%, Wilson 39%

Rasmussen: Heinrich 52%, Wilson 39%

A poll shows that U.S. Rep. Heinrich is maintaining a double-digit lead over former U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson as early voting begins and the first televised debate looms.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll puts Heinrich’s lead at 13 percent. Heinrich clocks in at 52 percent in the poll to Wilson’s 39 percent.

Like in the presidential poll which showed President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by 11 percent, Rasmussen Reports does not include third-party candidates, in this case American Independent Party candidate Jon Barrie. However, four percent of respondents say they would vote for “some other candidate in the race.” Five percent say they are undecided.

The poll is identical to a previous Rasmussen Reports poll conducted on August 23. Wilson is running out of time to make up ground on Heinrich, as the election is less than a month away — and some voters have already cast ballots.

The only polls to show the race within five percent in the last two months are two internal polls by Wilson, one which pegged Heinrich’s lead at five percent and another at just one percent. Heinrich has led in every public poll in the race.

The race was once considered a top-tier race, but national Republicans decided to pull their money for advertising in the race and other conservative groups have stopped airing ads in support of Wilson or attacking Heinrich.

The New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 8, 2012. The margin of error on the poll is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Written by

Matthew Reichbach has blogged about New Mexico politics since 2006. Matthew was a co-founder of New Mexico FBIHOP with his brother and part of the original hirings at the groundbreaking website the New Mexico Independent. Matthew has covered events such as the Democratic National Convention and Netroots Nation. In addition to politics, Matthew is an avid sports fan, especially of the Los Angeles Dodgers, and TV fan.

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One Response to "Rasmussen: Heinrich 52%, Wilson 39%"

  1. [...] change the direction of the race; earlier in the day a Rasmussen poll came out showing Heinrich maintaining his double-digit lead. Heinrich needed to make sure that he did not make a mistake to allow that fundamental change in [...]