A poll by Research & Polling, Inc. shows President Barack Obama leading former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney 49 percent to 39 percent. The poll is the latest in a long line that shows Obama leading Romney by double-digits in New Mexico.
Former New Mexico governor takes 6 percent, virtually identical to the 7 percent that Johnson had in the early-September Albuquerque Journal poll.
Hispanics in the state are going strong for Obama in the poll; 65 percent say that they will vote for Obama while just 24 say they will vote for Romney. New Mexico has the highest percent of Hispanic residents in the country.
The story does not break down Anglo voters, though these voters are typically more conservative — and Romney would need to run up the score with these voters to have any chance in increasingly-blue New Mexico.
The Journal says that Albuquerque, once a key swing area of the state, is key to Obama’s lead.
Fifty-three percent of Albuquerque-area voters said they would vote for Obama, and 34 percent supported Romney.
“Obama’s breaking out in the big city of Albuquerque, the largest urban area of the state,” [Research & Polling, Inc. President Brian] Sanderoff said.
Romney is leading in the typical Republican regions of the state; the poll finds Romney leads in the eastern and southeast part of the state 64 percent to 25 percent and in the Northwest 55 percent to 39 percent.
Despite Romney’s big least in eastern New Mexico, the biggest lead was Obama’s lead in the Democratic-stronghold of North-Central New Mexico, where Obama leads 66 percent to 21 percent.
The previous Research & Polling poll, conducted from September 3 to 6, showed Obama leading by just five percent, giving some of the less reality-constrained conservatives hopes that New Mexico was in play for Romney this year.
The rest of the Research & Polling, Inc. poll should be released in the coming days — including the U.S. Senate results between Martin Heinrich and Heather Wilson.
The current Research & Polling survey of 658 likely voters was conducted from October 9 to 11 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent.