A poll by Rasmussen Reports puts the race for governor between Gary King and Susana Martinez at a dead-heat with each candidate at 43 percent.
The poll finds that each candidate has the support of 43 percent of likely voters while seven percent backed “some other candidate” and seven percent are undecided. There is no third-party candidate in the race and no candidate filed to run as a write-in candidate.
King’s campaign quickly responded to the poll, touting its results.
“What this shows is that New Mexicans are ready for a Governor that will stand up for our kids, teachers, families and our state,” King said in a statement Thursday afternoon. “My family and I have dedicated our lives to serving New Mexico, and I will be proud to be the Governor of this great state when the voter’s voices are heard in November.”
Republicans quickly took to Twitter to denounce the poll, alleging the numbers are incorrect and the sample was not accurate. They alleged that the poll undersampled Republicans and older voters and oversampled Democrats and younger voters.
The crosstabs and toplines of Rasmussen polls are only available to subscribers. NM Telegram is working to get the crosstabs and toplines and will report on these if and when they are received.
The Rasmussen Reports poll is the first independent poll to be released since the primary. The only previous poll not conducted by a candidate was by a firm that does work for Democratic candidates and liberal causes, Public Policy Polling. That poll was conducted in March.
Since then, the Martinez campaign has released two polls and the King campaign has released one. Each of those polls showed Martinez leading King.
A tie race would be a shock to many. The race has been considered to be a likely win for Republicans by many pundits both in the state and nationwide.
The poll of 860 likely voters was conducted from July 21 to 22 and has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent. Their methodology says they use automated calls and “an online survey tool” to reach those who do not have landlines.